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Analyst predicts semi slow down


Tuesday, February 6, 2007 Led by higher consumption in Asia, global revenues and unit sales of ICs grew by 8.7 percent and 18.1 percent, respectively, in 2006. But end-demand is expected to peak in the second half, dampening growth to single digits in 2007, according to market researcher Advanced Forecasting.

That is a contrarian view to recent predictions. Last week, the Semiconductor Industry Association forecast that the semiconductor market will grow 10 percent to $273.8 billion in 2007. The often bullish Future Horizons said the market will grow by 12 percent in 2007 and by a further 16 percent in 2008.

Terra Securities ASA fell more in line with a call for single digit growth, predicting a 7 percent increase, but said momentum will pick up in the second half, not slow down as Advanced Forecasting believes.

The firm said global sales in 2006 were led by a rise in Asian consumption (excluding Japan), which grew by 12.4 percent to hit $100.4 billion, or 48 percent of total worldwide IC revenues.

Sales in the US, the second largest consumer, grew 10 percent to $41 billion. Sales in Japan grew 4.8 percent to 34.7 billion and sales in Europe grew 1.1 percent to 33.5 billion.

By: DocMemory
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